USD and yearly Currency Price cycles is explained by monthly Government budgets, predicated by Unitedstates
GBP Feb/ March
NZD May /June
AUD June / July
How Government budgets relates to Currency Futures is due to Futures trade based on money Supplies and explains why volume in Contract numbers are crucial to futures trading and relates directly to currency spot prices..
An overbought futures price occurs when price exceeded money Supply, while oversold or low price means a low money Supply.
Contango and Backwardation hardly explains prices fully.
Explains why volume is the first and oldest indicator coupled with its next oldest rival open Interest.
Futures contracts then and now trade as open interest is the Trade Signal while Volume is hedged.
Yet volume alone to money Supply is enough information for a trade.
Seen Normally as budget cycles is a Currency Price, Jpy for example, drops every April to allow Government to fund the budget., happened 14 times since 1995, except for weird markets years, 2019, 18, 2013, 2010, 2008, 2007, 2003, 1998, 1997. Yet up months contained small moves.
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