Trade Service

Titled trade service for interested to find the receiving end to trades. I never considered myself a trade service nor do I solicit traders to join as my intention was never to become a trade service. It came by accident about 7 years ago to assist a few traders and exporters. By trade postings and results, more traders came and many remained over many years. I merely assist traders interested in trades.

Now and then a horrible week exist but never worry as only an entry was missed but never a target so trades are repaired to profit or at minimum, to breakeven. Over time, traders are highly profitable and the reason to stay on.

The price is $300 per month for 1000 ish pips per week and more on most weeks. See June and July 2019 for profit methodologies. I also know as many informed, $300 is quite low in relation to trader profits. This isn’t a get rich quick scheme or profit center in monthly revenue. God blessed me and I return blessings to those in need in my community.

Weekly Currency trades contain 4 trades per 18 currency pairs in order to trade continuously throughout the week. Possibly only 2 trades may exist but we’re prepared for any market event including possible crashes.

On 18 currency pairs, 4 trades each is 72 weekly trades. If only 2 trades exist per currency pair equates to 36 trades.

As seen here over many years, trades are not only self explanatory but entries and targets are provided as well as vital levels in order to watch the trades but also to exit at any point along the way. All account sizes are accommodated in this regard.

Weekly profit per currency pair is around 150 pips for 2 trades per currency pair. 1000 pips per week is quire common. Our best week was 2500 pip February 2019 at Brexit time but we traded 10 and 12 currency pairs then.

Essentially, we trade the entire currency market every week and certain EM currencies. Those busy during the week and no time to watch charts or prices then our trades are perfect.

Daily trades amount to 80 trades per week for 8 currency pairs, 90 to include AUD/EUR or EUR/AUD. Day trades represent extra pips for the week while waiting for weekly entries and targets.

All required for traders is click on entry and target and this is carefully factored every week and over many, many years.

After 17 years and much time and effort to study the currency price, its understood and mastered. We trade numbers, not charts, nor are stops required. As I always said , whatever you think you know or thought you knew must be discarded at the door because its all wrong.

We’re miles past and far more experienced than the trading crowds, trade services and crooked websites. This is my benefit and my hindrance because I’m out of step to the trading crowds.

No need for trade rooms, nor am I able to post on youtube. Post what?, numbers. Crowds require pictures when this is not used by us. I’m not here to waste your time as I am a serious trader to assist other serious traders.

Brian Twomey, brian@btwomey.com

USD/JPY Vs Yield Levels and Correlations

The 2 year yield traded Monday and Tuesday 4 points from 0.7574 to 0.8028 and 0.7527 to 0.8002. The monthly range is located from 0.3376 to 0.8871. The 2 year held 2 supports at 0.6123 and 0.7497. The 2 year hit bottom support, rose and maintained its range. The daily Treasury yield rates reported 0.77 Tuesday and 0.78 Monday at its normal 7:30 am EST start time.


The 5 year yield traded Monday 7 points from 1.2916 to 1.3696 and 1.3486 to 1.3969 or 4 points. The monthly range is located from 1.0870 to 1.4927. The 5 year from 1.24 broke above 1.2898 and traded to highs at 1.3969. Daily Treasury offered a green light from Monday and Tuesday’s reported 1.37. The 5 year held its range.


The 10 year traded Monday from 1.5310 to 1.6410 or 11 points then Tuesday 1.6130 to 1.6860 or 7 points. The 10 year at 1.53 was oversold from its monthly mid point at 1.63291 and bounced to trade just prior to its resistance point at 1.72110. The monthly range is located from 4564 to 1.8095. The Treasury reported the 10 year at 1.63 Monday and 1.66 Tuesday.


The 30 year traded 1.901 to 2.0450 or 14 points Monday then 2.009 to 2.102 or 9 points. Daily Treasury reported 2.01 Monday and 2.07 Tuesday. The monthly range is located from 1.7987 to the 1 year average at 2.0261 then 2.0581 and 2.3126.The 30 year was oversold from 1.90, broke above 1.9124, 1.9692 and 2.0261 resistance to trade from 2.0261 to 2.0581 – 2.3126.


USD/JPY vs Yields


While the 2 year yield ranges from 0.3376 to 0.8871, USD/JPY correlates to 0.3376 at +16% and +19% at 0.8871. The best correlations for the 2 year and USD/JPY are found at 0.32% and 34% at the 4 and 5 year monthly averages. The 2 year fails to explain USD/JPY as correlations impart performance as a question to distance to yield points Vs USD/JPY pip moves.


For interested, on my blog at btwomey.com dating to 2015 is years of yield, interest rates and currency price concepts for many currencies and nation’s yields and interest rates.


And viewed from every possible scenario from simple averages and regression to yield crossovers, FX Points. Yields factored forward, from yield curves to yield slopes.
Every possible figure and factor in FX is located on my blog dating to 2010 and 2011. The end result was the invention in 2015 to today’s interest rate model for day trades and deployed to trade every financial instrument on the planet.


Historically as written previously, USD/JPY drivers to yields are short term yields in the vicinity from 2 to 5 years while the 10 year never factored as Correlation drivers nor suited for trade entries.


USD/JPY correlates to the 5 year yield from the 1 year at 87% and 2 year at 64% then correlations drop like a rock. The 1 year is located at 0.8146 and 2 year at 0.6904.
The 10 year yield then loses correlations to USD/JPY as the 1 and 2 year correlate at 59% and 67% then correlations drop. Those yield levels are located at 1.1545 and 1.4045. Only 50% to yield moves are explained by USD/JPY.


Many yields and yield ranges from 1 to 5 years fail to explain USD/JPY direction and performance as USD/JPY is off kilter to yields by trading at erroneous levels. The moves are quick and short term evidenced by correlations at 1 and 2 year and not to the full set of averages from 1 to 5 years. The worst performer to correlation is the yield 5 year average for all yield maturities. The 5 year should be the best performer.


The 30 year correlates to USD/JPY at 54%.


USD/JPY overall trades overbought and began overbought at weekly starts for the past 3 weeks. USD/JPY is rising despite severe overbought. A lower USD/JPY to 110.00’s and 111.00’s would not only correlate to DXY more correctly but to yields. Until USD/JPY drops then the yield /USD/JPY relations will remain off kilter to correlations.


Treasury Yields


30 year Treasury yield is priced in 32nds and priced at $312.50 for each 32nd or $3,000 per point. One basis point on a 10 year bond is $1000.


A guide


From fraction to decimal,
1/32 = 0.0313,
3/64 = 0.0469,
1/16 = 0.0625,
5/64 = 0.0781.
At 63/64 = 0.9844 then comes 1.0 as a fully traded basis point.


From Fraction to percent,


1/32 = 3.125%
3/64 = 4.687%
1/16 = 6.25%
5/64 = 7.812
63/64 = 98.437%. Then 1.0 as a fully traded basis point.

Brian Twomey