AUD/USD and Neutrality

Continuing with the analysis to exchange rates predict exchange rates using a $5 calculator viewed to AUD, here’s early synopsis.

The currency AUDUSD is the neutral currency pair in the AUD lineup and consistent to neutrality for USD/JPY and closely related neutral to EUR/USD and GBP/USD. I suspect NZD/USD and USDCHF factors to neutrality as well.

AUDGBP at EUR/AUD reciprocal 0.5000’s is not only the bottom currency but it lacks any fit to the AUD complex and fails to serve as a true AUD bottom.

AUDGBP belongs exclusively in the GBP universe as GBP/AUD exchange rate 1.8800’s to allow trading in wide ranges between GBPCAD and GBPNZD.

GBPAUD great currency but strange as a 3 pip built in deviation exists from AUDGBP to GBPAUD. Possibly the reason is a legacy holdover from Australia’s 150 year peg to AUD/GBP from the 1800’s to AUD/USD’s free float in March 1983. The last valid assessment is 3 pips is a factor of the current market price structure and eventually 3 pips will align itself.

AUDUSD as neutral factors to include AUDGBP but subtract AUDGBP then AUDUSD neutrality holds.

The top pair is yet undetermined as work is ongoing. The top depends what role AUDNZD serves in the AUD complex as AUDNZD may serve as an outlier which means AUDCAD becomes the top. What we know from EUR/GBP as to what appears as an outlier exchange rate number is never the case.

What Neutrality means for successful trading by example.

If EUR/USD is in neutral position, this means EUR/USD’s neutrality exists to allow cross pairs to move. Cross pair movements once complete to their deviation from EUR/USD means cross pairs will exist in neutral positions to allow EUR/USD to align to cross pairs.

A back and forth process of deviation exists from EUR/USD to cross pairs then cross pairs to EUR/USD. Its a question of alignment or misalignment as neutrality can only favor EUR/USD or cross pairs but never both. To favor both eliminates trading and markets.

This back and forth works on a quarterly basis and it means 3 months to trade either cross pairs or EUR/USD because it takes 3 months to either deviate from home base or 3 months to re align back home. The same principle in EUR holds for GBP/USD loosely and cross pairs as well as USDJPY, AUDUSD, and suspects NZD/USD and USD/CHF.

From a 2 year view due to hand calculations to trades, the 3 month periods factors as 2nd and 4th quarters favors cross pair trading while 1st and 3rd quarters favors USD V Non USD such as EUR/USD, AUD/USD and USD/JPY. Profit potential depends how far prices deviated from home base.

The 35 posted trades last year all occurred in the 2nd quarter and all trades were cross pairs. At this time, cross pairs were far far deviated and 35 trades literally wasn’t enough to cover all the possible trades.

What neutrality means by EUR/USD example is EUR/USD will trade in small ranges while cross pairs will outpace EUR/USD and even trend. Then the reverse will occur as cross pairs trade dead neutral to allow EUR/USD its ability to realign to cross pairs.
Up next AUD.

 

Brian Twomey

AUDUSD V AUD/EUR V AUD/GBP

 

Continuing with our research to exchange rates Predict exchange rates, viewed to AUD.

 

The currency AUDUSD is the neutral currency Pair in the AUD Lineup.

 

AUDGBP at reciprocal 0.5000’s is not only the bottom currency but it lacks any fit to the AUD complex and doesn’t serve as AUD Bottom.

 

AUDGBP belongs exclusively in the GBP universe as exchange rate 1.8800’s to allow trading in wide ranges between GBPCAD and GBPNZD.

 

GBPAUD great currency but strange as a 3 pip built in deviation exists from AUDGBP to GBPAUD.

 

AUDUSD as neutral factors to AUDGBP but subtract AUDGBP then AUDUSD neutrality holds.

 

The bottom pair and most vital to AUDUSD is AUDEUR or as seen by traders as  EURAUD

 

The top pair? Not sure yet cause it depends what role AUDNZD serves in the AUD Complex as AUDNZD may serve as an outlier

which means AUDCAD is the top Currency. Yet speculation exists to no such concept as an outlier currency as each currency serves its vital purpose in the 28 pair line up.

 

Brian Twomey

Weekly Trades: GBP/CHF, AUD/CHF and NZD/CHF

 

GBP/CHF

Long 1.2574 and 1.2544 to target 1.2618. Must cross 1.2559, 1.2574, 1.2589, and 1.2604.

Long above 1.2636 to target 1.2756. . Must cross 1.2651, 1.2664, 1.2679, 1.2694, 1.2709, 1.2724 and 1.2739.

 

AUD/CHF

Long 0.6644 and 0.6624 to target 0.6718. Must cross 0.6687 and 0.6707.

Long above 0.6729 to target 0.6789. Must cross 0.6749 and 0.6769.

 

NZD/CHF

Long 0.6381 and 0.6368 to target 0.6408. Must cross 0.6394.

Long above 0.6421 to target 0.6472. Must cross 0.6434, 0.6446 and 0.6459.

 

6 weekly trades now posted, how much longer to continue posting winning trades after winning trades is under question. The $300 per month fee on 18 weekly currency pairs is ridiculously low but its offered as a rock bottom price to allow traders to profit rather than lose money on crooked trade services and incompetent website traders.

 

Brian Twomey

 

Weekly Trades: GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY, NZD/JPY

Last week’s NZD/JPY and GBP/JPY trades achieved written entries on Monday and Tuesday and both traded lower for 65 and 75 pips profit or 140 pip total. EUR/JPY exceeded 122.12 entry by 74 pips then closed Friday at exactly 122.11.

From GBP/JPY and NZD/JPY lows at 142.67 and 72.35, GBP/JPY and NZD/JPY decided to bounce from its overbought status to more overbought at 144.53 and 73.35. EUR/JPY achieved the Richter scale at 122.80’s. Non normality to a currency price is trade higher when overbought and lower on oversold. Normal and a vast majority to weekly price movements is entry to target.

The methodology on a missed entry by higher on overbought or lower on oversold is immediately add 1 lot to the trade. Next options are either trade to entry for break even or small profit or trade to target with an extra benefit of the additional lot and the market’s gift to added points. Understanding price context is the overall benefit.

EUR/JPY on a break higher of 123.80 might invalidate the short trade and NZD/JPY at 73.55.

As targets failed to achieve its destination last week, the same trades will again run this week.

EUR/JPY

Short 122.41 and 122.61 to target 121.42. Must cross 122.21, 122.02 and 121.82.
Short below 121.24 to target 120.03. Must cross 121.04, 120.84, 120.64, 120.43 and 120.23.
Long 120.03 to target 121.04. Must cross 120.22, 120.43, 120.62 and 120.81.

NZD/JPY

Short 72.98 and 73.12 to target 71.69. Must cross 72.70, 72.41, 72.12 and 71.83.
Short below 71.59 to target 70.16. Must cross 71.30, 71.01, 70.72 and 70.43.
Long 70.16 to target 71.30. Must cross 70.44, 70.72 and 71.01

GBP/JPY

.Short 143.56 and 143.89 to target 141.21. Must cross 143.56, 143.22, 142.88, 142.54, 142.20, 141.86 and 141.52.
Short below 140.89 to target 139.54.

 

Brian Twomey

 

 

 

Gridlock: EUR V JPY and JPY Cross Pairs V GOLD, DXY and S&P’s

USD/JPY’s vital high / Low break point is located at current 108.93 and USD/JPY trades above.

The problem to currency prices is EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUDUSD and NZD/USD also trade above high / low break points. All prices are trading in mis positions as risk assets are trading alongside USD/JPY status as non risk asset. This logjam must break to correct the market imbalance.

As noted in the December Gold forecast article, both DXY and Gold as non risk assets and currently trading above 5 year averages are also trading alongside the risk status of the S&P’s. The S&P also trades above its 5 year average. The same logjam inherent in USD/JPY Vs EUR/USD and counterparts are affected in the DXY, GOLD and S&P relationship.

Further noted in the December article was Gold at extreme prices are located from 1553.97 to 1617.76. Gold traded to 1613 then dropped to 1550’s and remains deeply overbought.

The S&P, DXY and Gold price imbalance is broken by either DXY and Gold trade below 5 year averages or the S&P’s break below its 5 year average.

Markets enter 2020 against the common theme of price imbalances as risk assets trade alongside non risk. The gridlock will eventually break as always occurs in markets then trends will develop and correctly traded markets rather than range trading.
USD/JPY

Either USD/JPY must break below 108.93 or EUR/USD and counterparts must break below its vital points.

The major effects to the USD/JPY and EUR/USD problem feeds into JPY cross pairs as all JPY cross pairs trade above high / low break levels. The logjam dilemma is not only serious but either USD/JPY or EUR/USD and counterparts must own their respective cross pairs but never both. Great moves ahead once the gridlock breaks but not before.

EUR/USD and USD/JPY current imbalanced status is sending JPY cross pairs higher and into deeper overbought territory, CHF/JPY in particular is at richter scale overbought.

EUR/USD break point is located at 1.1117 Vs EUR/JPY at 121.11 while higher must break 1.1277 and 123.73.

GBP/USD 1.2919 Vs GBP/JPY at 140.75.

NZD/USD 0.6564 Vs NZD/JPY 71.49

AUD/USD 0.6879 Vs AUD/JPY 74.96.

USD/CAD 1.3125 Vs CAD/JPY 83.01 maintains correct market status

USD/CHF 0.9792 Vs CHF/JPY 111.27 also maintains proper market order.

The most important pairs from above are anchors NZD/USD and NZD/JPY as both should lead the way for remainder pairs once respective points are broken. If NZD/USD breaks 0.6564 then risk pairs will follow then we know USD/JPY will trade higher. Also known will be the question who owns JPY crosses.

 

Brian Twomey

GBP Predicts GBP Currencies and EUR

Each GBP pair lives and trades within its own separate universe yet all GBP pairs together are members of the same family. Wide range pairs GBP/NZD, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD are counterbalanced by subordinate lower range pairs GBP/JPY, GBP/USD, GBP/CHF and GBP/EUR. The terms lower vs higher ranges for GBP pairs is a mis applied concept particularly as it relates to short term trades.

GBP and Ranges

Higher and lower ranges assumes automatically wider vs lower or bigger Vs smaller movements. For GBP, not necessarily. Exchange rate numbers disparity to wide distances between each GBP pair were applied, speculatively, on purpose to allow each GBP pair its own separate trading range within its own universe. Exchange rates for GBP means 0 point reciprocals and the straight 1.0 numbers as seen and traded on broker platforms.

GBP: Separate but Equal

All GBP pairs to apply the Plessey Vs Ferguson decision are separate but equal. Separate but equal means GBP pairs lack ability to violate each other’s trading range although on rare occasions GBP/NZD and GBP/AUD may violate spaces but those are fleeting instances and never last as market traders correct for imbalances.

GBP = GBP

Understand GBP = GBP. All GBP pairs are members of the same family and not one GBP pair is contrary to the GBP universe such as EUR/GBP to EUR or AUD/NZD and sometimes AUD/CAD to AUD or CAD/CHF to USD/CAD. The anti aspect to GBP’s exchange rate line up allows GBP a free wheeling, high flying currency. It doesn’t often trade to its full potential but on paper, GBP encompasses the abilities.

GBP Arrangements

GBP is arranged as GBP/NZD at the top vs GBP/CHF at the bottom anchor or a 6900 pip disparity. Remainder GBP pairs are located between GBP/NZD and GBP/CHF. Why GBP/CHF serves as the true anchor currency pair is because GBP/EUR is just an average currency pair in the GBP universe and lacks importance to the overall GBP whole. GBP/CHF serves the anchor function because at current 1.2600’s vs GBP/EUR at 1.1750’s, GBP/CHF exchange rate numbers are more closely aligned to the GBP aggregate.

GBP Price Drivers

The answer to GBP price drivers is it depends. Each GBP pair contains an equal chance to activate the GBP complex. Yet each GBP pair contains the same ability to render all GBP as neutrality. GBP/NZD, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD serves an equal function to drive remainder GBP pairs as much as GBP/USD, GBP/JPY and GBP/CHF to GBP/NZD, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD. Overbought or oversold may apply to one or more GBP pairs. Possibly one or two GBP pairs drives the total. Why?.

GBP and GBP Pair Trading

GBP/NZD, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD trade within 1500 and even 2000 pip ranges. Those ranges rarely break. AS GBP/NZD, GBP/AUD and GBP/CAD trade and move, ranges usually adjust rather than break. It takes an extraordinary move to break ranges such as a Brexit, 2009 EUR/CHF or 2008 crash scenario. Trading and movement in the big 3 is best described as wandering aimlessly subject to the impulses to other GBP pairs, oversold or overbought by themselves.

GBP Direction

Before GBP/USD, GBP/CHF and GBP/JPY achieved long term targets, all were price drivers to the total. The lower 3 now trade approximately within the context to their ranges. Until a deviation in GBP prices materialize, GBP lacks an overall directional trade strategy. However, all GBP pairs trade at the bottoms of a 20 year range.

GBP Pair Relationships

GBP/NZD and GBP/AUD share a close relationship as the top 2 currencies while GBP/USD and GBP/CHF are deeply aligned. GBP/CAD and GBP/JPY at the center serves as neutral currencies although GBP/JPY chooses for the most part to align to GBP/USD. Why align to GBP/USD is explained by GBP/JPY’s hiighly special ability as a key forecast currency to JPY cross pairs. And because its traditional for JPY cross pairs to align to main USD V Non USD pairs. Then comes the inability for 1.41 GBP/JPY to never trade above GBP/CAD at 1.70’s or lower than GBP/USD at 1.3000’s. GBP exchange rate alignments are permanent features and never to change.

GBP/JPY V GBP/CAD Neutrality

GBP/JPY and GBP/CAD represent not only the demarcation line between the GBP bottom and top but as neutral currencies, GBP/CAD and GBP/JPY provides abilities for the triangulation trade to emerge. As exchange rate forecast exchange rate predictions were tested, GBP/CAD and GBP/JPY appeared in the neutral position more often than any GBP pair. A triangulation fairly defined is a neutral currency Vs 2 currencies allowed movements.

GBP/EUR

GBP/EUR as least important currency pair means it also severely lacks forecast abilities to other GBP pairs. However, EUR/GBP as another highly special currency not only serves a vital function to forecast EUR pairs but EUR/GBP and GBP together predicts perfectly tops, bottoms, entries and targets for EUR/USD, EUR/GBP, EUR/CHF and EUR/CAD. EUR pairs then forecasts from EUR and from GBP.

GBP Predicts GBP

To forecast EUR pairs from EUR requires nuances and changes to reciprocals and straight 1.0 exchange rates. GBP lacks the EUR complications to forecast exchange rates predict exchange rates. But minor steps are involved and those revelations won’t publish here.

Exchange Rates Predict Exchange Rates

The concept exchange rates predict exchange rates is a self full filling method as present currency pairs, speculatively, are chosen for a reason. Possibly to measure and contain exchange rate numbers within a special distance and to force constraints to currency prices by limit to wide price trading. Not one currency price will fall outside the current alignment because all currency prices align to each other in an interlocking, highly self contained market. Explains why exchange rates predict exchange rates is valid until the end of time.

Only special Statistics forecast perfectly exchange rates predict exchange rates. Not sure how or why a trading system is necessary as a pen, paper and calculator are only requirements to either work Statistics or to use exchange rates predict exchange rates.

 

While focus in this set of articles addresses each individual set of exchange rates, many, many ways exists to perfectly forecast currency prices by using other currency pairs outside of the sets. GBP/USD and USD/CAD is just one such example.
GBP predicts GBP/AUD is most popular among the GBP line up while GBP fails to forecast GBP/JPY yet GBP/JPY forecasts GBP pairs.

The methods

All exchange rates

= GBP/CAD and GBP/JPY, GBP/AUD bottom, GBP/CHF target and reverse
Minus GBP/JPY = GBP/AUD, GBP/USD and GBP/NZD
Minus GBP/NZD = GBP/CHF
Minus GBP/AUD = GBP/CHF
Minus GBP/CAD = GBP/AUD, GBP/CAD and EUR/USD
Minus GBP/USD = GBP/AUD and GBP/NZD
Minus GBP/CHF = GBP/AUD

Reciprocals , add EUR/GBP

= GBP/NZD
Minus GBP/JPY = GBP/CHF, EUR/CAD
Minus GBP/NZD = GBP/CHF, GBP/AUD and EUR/USD
Minus GBP/AUD = GBP/NZD and EUR/USD
Minus GBP/USD = GBP/CHF, EUR/CAD and EUR/CHF
Minus GBP/CHF = GBP/CHF and EUR/CAD
Minus GBP/AUD = GBP/NZD and EUR/USD
Minus GBP/CAD = ?

Reciprocals, add GBP/EUR

= EUR/GBP and GBP/USD
Minus GBP/JPY = 0
Minus GBP/USD = EUR/GBP and GBP/CHF
Minus GBP/CHF = EUR/GBP, GBP/AUD, GBP/CHF
GBP/EUR is a failure

All Exchange Rates, add GBP/EUR

Total = GBP/EUR failure
Minus GBP/NZD = GBP/CAD and EUR/GBP
Minus GBP/AUD = EUR/GBP
Minus GBP/CAD = EUR/GBP
Minus GBP/JPY = Nothing
Minus GBP/USD = GBP/CHF
Minus GBP/CHF = GBP/AUD and GBP/CHF

Reciprocals, Eliminate EUR/GBP and GBP/EUR

Minus GBP/JPY = GBP/CAD, GBP/USD and GBP/AUD
Minus GBP/USD = GBP/USD, GBP/CAD and EUR/USD
Minus GBP/CHF = GBP/USD, GBP/CAD and EUR/CHF
Minus GBP/NZD = GBP/AUD, GBP/NZD and EUR/USD
Minus GBP/AUD = GBP/CHF and EUR/USD
Minus GBP/CAD = GBP/CHF and EUR/USD

Brian Twomey

 

Weekly Trades: GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY and NZD/JPY

Last week’s GBPUSD trade to short 1.3177 traded to 1.3212 and a 35 bonus point miss to entry. The target at 1.2960 traded to 1.3012 for + 200 pips from 1.3212 and + 165 pips from 1.3177. The 35 bonus point entry miss meant the 1.2960 target had to adjust by 35 pips.

What accounts for a GBP missed entry is not necessarily derived from GBP/USD but was the result of wide range GBP pairs as GBP/NZD, GBP/CAD, GBP/AUD.

A currency price must by mathematical law meet its trade target obligation. If any of GBP’s wide range pairs had to travel higher to meet its target destination then GBP/USD is forced higher. Understand then bonus points are market gifts.

Understand GBP = GBP. All GBP pairs are members of the same family and not one GBP pair is anti to the GBP universe such as EUR/GBP to EUR or AUD/NZD and sometimes AUD/CAD to AUD and CAD/CHF to USD/CAD. Because all GBP pairs are wide rangers compared to all its G28 counterparts, GBP is clearly the currency to lead currency markets.

While traders informed bullish GBP, the long trade was not only impossible and a gamble but GBP/USD began the week at 1.3079 in deep overbought. We traded as usual the easiest, no effort and most profitable trade for 200 pips Vs the gamble long calls for 133 pips.

EUR/USD trade short 1.1168 and 1.1188 to target 1.1131. EUR/USD traded to 1.1204. Target was complete at 1.1131 for +73 pips from 1.1204 and +57 pips from 1.1188.

EUR/USD second trade, short 1.1128 to target 1.1048 traded to 1.1085 for +43 pips. Total pips from trade instruction: + 100 Pips.

EUR/GBP Long 0.8472 and 0.8455 to target 0.8591. Wednesday, EUR/GBP traded perfectly to 0.8455 and climbed to the week’s highs at 0.8534. The trade failed to meet target but profit result was +79 pips.

Total for 4 trades, 3 currencies and profit earned + 379 pips.

Best trades this week are JPY cross pairs.

NZD/JPY

Short 72.87 and 73.12  to target 71.40. Must cross 72.36, 72.10, 71.84 and 71.58.

Short below 71.33 to target 70.55. Must cross 71.07 and 70.81.

EUR/JPY

Short 121.87 and 122.12 to target 121.04. Must cross 121.36 and 121.10,

Short below 120.86 to target 120.07. Must cross 120.60 and 120.33.

GBP/JPY

Short 143.08 and 143.40 to target 140.84. Must cross 143.08, 142.75, 142.42, 142.09, 141.76, 141.43, 141.10 and 140.77.

Short below 140.52 to target 139.23. Must cross 140.19, 139.86 and 139.53.

 

Brian Twomey

18 Weekly Currency Trades and Results

Since July 2019, haven’t checked results. We remain perfect to entries and targets. 17 winning perfect trades and GBP/AUD off by 113 pips. Simply amazing perfection.

Overall 18 trades = 1885 Pips minus 113 pips GBP/AUD. Will trade GBP/AUD to break even.

GBP/CAD Long never traded and only result was 26 pips. AUD/CHF reported wrong trade numbers.

Actual 25 trades on 18 currency pairs.

We profit on average 124 pips per trade.

 

 

 

Favored trades this week: AUD/JPY, EUR/JPY, EUR/AUD, NZD/USD, NZD/JPY, CAD/JPY, USD/CAD, AUD/USD, EUR/NZD, EUR/USD, NZD/CHF, AUD/CHF

AUD/JPY. Break Point 74.97, below targets 73.45.

Strategy. Short 75.72 and 75.90 to target 75.15. Must cross 75.53 and 75.34. Short below 74.97 to target 73.45. Must cross 74.78, 74.59, 74.40, 74.21 and 74.02. Long 73.45 to target 74.78. Must cross 73.63, 73.81, 73.99, 74.17 and 74.35. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual Short 74.97 – 73.76 + 121 pips

EUR/JPY. Break Point 120.93, above targets 121.57.

Strategy. Long 120.26 and 119.93 to target 120.89. Must cross 120.09, 120.25, 120.41 and 120.57. Long above 120.92 to target 121.57. Must cross 121.08 and 121.24. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual Long 120.27 -120.89, + 62 Pips. 2nd trade = Long 120.92 Target 121.57 = +65 pips. Perfect Trades

EUR/AUD. Break Point 1.6129, above targets 1.6252.

Strategy. Long 1.6047 and 1.6027 to target 1.6119. Must cross 1.6047, 1.6067, 1.6087 and 1.6107. Long above 1.6129 to target 1.6252. Must cross 1.6149, 1.6169, 1.6189, 1.6209 and 1.6229. Short only strategy.

Results: Long 1.6047, Target 1.6119 = +72 Pips. 2nd Trade Long 1.6129, Target 1.,6252. +123 Pips. Highs 1.6292.

NZD/USD. Break Point 0.6567, below targets 0.6467.

Strategy. Short 0.6692 to target 0.6579. Must cross 0.66 7, 0.6642, 0.6619 and 0.6594. Short below 0.6567 to target 0.6467. Must cross 0.6542, 0.6517 and 0.6492. Long 0.6467 to target 0.6555. Must cross 0.6492, 0.6517 and 0.6542. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual 0.6680 to 0.6617. + 63 Pips.

NZD/JPY. Break Point 71.37, below targets 70.12.

Strategy. Short 72.61 and 72.76 if seen to target 71.52. Must cross 72.45,72.29, 72.13, 71.97, 71.81 and 71.65. Short below 71.37 to target 70.12. Must cross 71.21, 71.05, 70.89, 70.73, 70.57 and 70.41. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual 72.66 to 71.52. +109. Pips. 2nd trade Short 71.37, Target 70.12, Actual 71.37 =71.25, +12 Pips. Ongoing trade.

CAD/JPY. Break Point 82.65, below targets 81.96.

Strategy. Short 83.33 and 83.50 to target 82.79. Must cross 83.15 and 82.97. Short below 82.65 to target 81.96. Must cross 82.47, 82.29 and 82.11. Long only strategy.

Results Actual 83.84 -82.80, +70 Pips. 2nd trade 82.65 target 81.96, not traded.

USD/CAD. Break Point 1.3146, above targets 1.3228.

Strategy. Long 1.2982 and 1.2962 if seen to target 1.3136. Must cross 1.3002, 1.3022, 1.3042, 1.3062, 1.3082, 1.3102 and 1.3122. Long above 1.3146 to target 1.3228. Must cross 1.3166, 1.3186, 1.3196 and 1.3216. Short only strategy.

Results: Actual 1.2960 to 1.3047, + 87 Pips, ongoing Trade.

AUD/USD. Break Point 0.6899, below targets 0.6842.

Strategy. Short 0.6956 and 0.6984 to target 0.6913. Must cross 0.6944, 0.6930 and 0.6916. Short below 0.6899 to target 0.6842. Must cross 0.6885, 0.6871 and 0.6857. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual 0.6942 to 0.6913, +29 Pips. 2nd Trade 0.6899, Target 0.6842. Actual 0.6848. + 51 Pips.

EUR/NZD. Break Point 1.6949, above targets 1.7158.

Strategy. Long 1.6714 and 1.6688 to target 1.6923. Must cross 1.6740, 1.6767, 1.6792, 1.6818, 1.6844, 1.6870 and 1.6896. Weekly strategy.

Results: Actual 1.6692 to 1.6864, + 172 Pips.

EUR/USD. Break Point 1.1128, below targets 1.1048.

Strategy. Short 1.1168 and 1.1188 to target 1.1131. Must cross 1.1148. Short below 1.1128 to target 1.1048. Must cross 1.1108, 1.1088 and 1.1068. Long 1.1048 to target 1.1108. Must cross 1.1068 and 1.1088. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual 1.1204 to 1.1131, +57 from instruction. 2nd Trade 1.1128, target 1.1048, actual 1.1097, + 31 pips. Total +88 pips.

NZD/CHF. Break Point 0.6451, below targets 0.6399.

Strategy. Short 0.6503 and 0.6516 to target 0.6457. Must cross 0.6490 and 0.6477. Short below 0.6451 to target 0.6399. Must cross 0.6438, 0.6425 and 0.6412. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual 0.6488 to 0.6457, + 31 pips. 2nd Trade Shirt 0.6451, target 0.6399. Actual 0.6451 to 0.6397. +54 Pips. Total Pips 85.

AUD/CHF. Break Point 0.6778, above targets 0.6811.

Strategy. Long 0.6751 and 0.6743 to target 0.6769. Must cross 0.6760. Long above 0.6778 to target 0.6811. Must cross 0.6794. Long only strategy.

Results: Not trade, wrong numbers offered.

GBP

Favored trades this week: GBP/USD, GBP/JPY, GBP/CHF, GBP/NZD, GBP/CAD, GBP/AUD.

GBP/USD. Break Point 1.2933, below targets 1.2825 and 1.2716.

Strategy. Short 1.3150 and 1.3177 if seen to target 1.2960. Must cross 1.3123, 1.3096, 1.3069, 1.3042, 1.3015 and 1.2988. Short below 1.2933 to target 1.2825. Must cross 1.2906, 1.2879 and 1.2852. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual 1.3212 to 1.3017, +195 Pips, ongoing trade to target.

GBP/JPY. Break Point 140.56, below targets 139.17 and 137.77.

Strategy. Short 141.94 and 142.28 if seen to target 140.90. Must cross 141.59 and 141.24. Short below 140.56 to target 139.17. Must cross 140.21, 139.86 and 139.51. Long only strategy.

Results: Not sure Trade order. 142.28, Target 140.90, actual 143.28 to 140.90. +128 Pips

GBP/CHF. Break Point 1.2704, below targets 1.2632 and 1.2558.

Strategy. short 1.2776 and 1.2812 to target 1.2718. Must cross 1.2758, 1.2740 and 1.2722. Short below 1.2704 to target 1.2632. Must cross 1.2686 and 1.2668. Long only strategy.

Results: Actual 1.2801 to 12718, + 83 pips. 2nd Trade 1.2704, Target 1.2632, Actual 1.2704 to 1.2681. +23 pips. Ongoing trade to target

GBP/NZD. Break Point 1.9693, above targets 1.9890.

Strategy. Long 1.9594 and 1.9570 to target 1.9669. Must cross 1.9618 and 1.9642. Long above 1.9693 to target 1.9890. Must cross 1.9717, 1.9741, 1.9765, 1.9789, 1.9813, 1.9837, 1.9861, 1.9885. Weekly strategy.

Results: Actual 1.9610 to 19669, +59 pips. 2nd Trade 1.9693, Target 1.9890, actual 0.9693 to 1.9836. +202 Pips. Total +261 pips.

GBP/CAD. Break Point 1.7001, above targets 1.7133.

Strategy. Long 1.6895 and 1.6869 to target 1.6999. Must cross 1.6921, 1.6947 and 1.6973. Long above 1.7001 to target 1.7133. Must cross 1.7027, 1.7053, 1.7079, 1.7105. Weekly strategy.

Results: 1.7001 target 1.7133, Actual 1.7001 to 1.7126. +25 pips.

GBP/AUD. Break Point. 1.8744, below targets 1.8626 and 1.8507.

Strategy. Short 1.8862 and 1.8891 if seen to target 1.8772. Must cross 1.8833, 1.8804 and 1.8775. Short below 1.8744 to target 1.8626. Must cross 1.8715, 1.8686 and 1.6857. Weekly strategy.

Results: Actual 1.9152 to 1.9004. Current Lows 1.8984. This trade will exit at break even.

 

Brian Twomey   For trades contact brian@btwomey.com

GBP Predicts GBP Currency Pairs

GBPUSD and cross pairs are terrific Currencies and forecast ability for exact entries and targets work perfectly.

 

Works perfectly means entries and Targets follow Statistics just beautiful.

However as much as GBPUSD and cross pairs are straight forward, couple minor steps are involved to forecast accurately.

But GBP doesn’t contain any steps remotely close to the complicated euro.

GBP Pairs fail to forecast GBPJPY yet GBPJPY is a great forecast Currency.

 

Best GBP Forecast Pairs  GBPCAD GBPJPY and GBPUSD

Worst GBP Forecast Pairs GBPNZD and GBPAUD

A few more minor tests yet to run for complete understanding but overall I’m satisfied to GBP price knowledge.

trading GBP Pairs alone will earn Traders big money.

I caution to those with automatic trading systems.

Not sure the need to a trade system if price knowledge is known and the Currency price is complicated against many nuances that may fail automation.

 

Brian Twomey

 

EUR Predicts EUR/GBP

EUR/GBP: Exchange Rates Predict Exchange Rates

The purpose of EUR/USD and cross pairs is to protect EUR/GBP. EUR cross pair numbers are designed to protect EUR/GBP.

Many ways to forecast EUR/GBP perfectly and this offered today is only by using EUR. EUR/GBP is a forecast currency pair in itself to predict many, many currency pairs. EUR/GBP forecasts GBP/AUD for example.

Understanding is 1/2 the battle to winning but comprehension is lost among the 99% speculator crowd.

 

All reciprocals, add EUR/GBP as is = EUR/GBP Bottom

All Reciprocals, add EUR/GBP re-arranged = EUR/GBP top

EUR/JPY + EUR/CHF = EUR/GBP top

Reciprocals EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/CHF = EUR/GBP top

EUR/USD reciprocals = EUR/GBP top

Reciprocals minus EUR/NZD and EUR/GBP = EUR/GBP top

Minus EUR/NZD, add EUR/GBP as is = EUR/GBP top

As is minus EUR/NZD, add EUR/GBP = EUR/GBP Target

As is minus EUR/AUD, add EUR/GBP re arranged = EUR/GBP vital break.

As is Minus EUR/NZD, add EUR/GBP re arranged = EUR/GBP vital break

As is minus EUR/AUD and EUR/GBP as is = EUR/GBP top target

Reciprocals minus EUR/CAD and EUR/GBP = EUR/GBP top and bottom.

Reciprocals minus EUR/CAD, add EUR/GBP as is = EUR/GBP top and bottom.

 

Brian Twomey

Weekly Trades: EUR/USD, GBP/USD and EUR/GBP

Last week’s EUR/GBP trade instruction was long 0.8482 and 0.8465 to target 0.8603. EUR/GBP dropped from 0.8540’s to 0.8468. Entry 0.8468 traded to 0.8542 for +74 Pips.

Trader option existed to short anywhere from the week’s highs at 0.8540’s to target 0.8468 then reverse long. A short resulted in 72 pips and long for 74 pips, a grand total of 146 pips.

EUR/USD last week trade instruction was short 1.1176 and 1.1202. EUR/USD traded to 1.1237 for 35 bonus points. Target 1.1106 traded to 1.1124. From 1.1202 trade instruction result was +78 pips or +113 from 1.1237.

Never offered is a chart, graph nor stops as none are required. A trade begins at entry and ends at target. Trades are based on pure statistics but statistics used correctly and a giant distinction from other traders and forecasters.

My result is entries and targets are perfect to near perfect. This includes daily, weekly and long term trades. Long term trade targets are defined as months.

A market price in any currency or financial instrument is never correct therefore a chart or indicator based on an incorrect market price is always wrong. We trade numbers and correct numbers therefore a picture is never required. Most vital is to maximize for profit every pip and every exchange rate number traded.

For example, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY to start the week are located in opposite locations. NZD/CHF and AUD/CHF are located in opposite locations. GBP/CAD and GBP/CHF are located in opposite locations. EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD are located in opposite locations. A chart or graph fails to capture this phenomenon therefore forecasts may predict incorrectly.

GBP/CAD, GBP/CHF and GBP/JPY located in opposite locations directly affects GBP/USD prices.

Why Market Price is wrong is because platforms reveal to traders incorrect prices.

Exchange Rates Predict Exchange Rates

Current research is deeply focused on elimination of Statistics as exchange rates predict exchange rate entries and targets more accurately than my current set of Statistics. EUR/USD and EUR cross pairs for example contain roads that lead directly to forecasts for its most vital pair, EUR/GBP.

Yet EUR/USD and its cross pairs are extremely complicated and must re arrange as reciprocals for accurate forecasts. USD/CAD, CAD/JPY and CAD/CHF work as perfect triangulation trades. GBP/USD and cross pairs in early research appears perfectly straight forward.

Exchange rates predict exchange rates outside of the anchor currency pair and its cross pairs. For example, GBP/USD 1.3046 from USD/CAD.

Offered this week is EUR/USD, GBP/USD and EUR/GBP as the interest is EUR/GBP as forecast from EUR/USD.

EUR/USD

Short 1.1168 and 1.1188 to target 1.1131. Must cross 1.1148.
Short below 1.1128 to target 1.1048. Must cross 1.1108, 1.1088 and 1.1068.
Long 1.1048 to target 1.1108. Must cross 1.1068 and 1.1088.
Higher for EUR/USD must break weekly falling lines at 1.1276 and 1.1289.

GBP/USD

Short 1.3150 and 1.3177 to target 1.2960. Must cross 1.3123, 1.3096, 1.3069, 1.3042, 1.3015 and 1.2988, 1.2977.
Deep caution at 1.2977 and 1.2944.
Short below 1.2933 to target 1.2825. Must cross 1.2906, 1.2879 and 1.2852.

EUR/GBP

Long 0.8472 and 0.8455 to target 0.8591. Must cross 0.8489.
Long above 0.8608 to target 0.8644. Must cross 0.8625.
Falling weekly lines above are located at 0.8699 and 0.8714.

Most vital range for EUR/GBP between vital break points are located at 0.8699 to 0.8368 or 331 pips.

EUR/GBP best strategy is short only as the overall curve points lower.

 

Brian Twomey